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IT'S OVER -- MICROSOFT LOST -- BIG DEAL
I will go out on a limb here:
Microsoft has lost, the DoJ has won:
Microsoft will cave immediately or after a certain amount of
posturing and hourly billing by its cereal-box lawyers.
MS will take the Department's deal, which is not costly.
That deal will free the MicroSlaves on the Texas OEM plantations.
There may be some near-term consumer benefits to that, but not by
the Christmas sales season now already underway.
The deal will give encouragement to MicroSerfs in the Great State
of Northern California, but this action will not soon keep MS from
reducing them to dreary subservience or driving them to open
In any case, Microsoft will continue to book uncollected revenues
from Asia and look to the USGoverment or the Pacific Fleet to
collect them. Collecting foreign royalty is this Administration's
leverage in the present case, not its Mickey Mouse lawyering or its
indifferent approach to regulatory and legal matters generally.
Bill GATES will not become the poster boy or patron that the nutty
right wants him to be. He may join Ira MAGAZINER in a great effort
to reform anti-trust law along the lines of today's health
insurance reforms, V-chips, and so on.
My hints, clues, and signals, hardly evidence, for this are just two
Microsoft Friday announced its plans for releasing IE4 on the Mac
and a slew of UNIX platforms. So much for its being an integral
part of DOS/Windows.
General MORALES piled-on Friday and sued Microsoft for not letting
him sniff around Texas OEMs. That is no-risk ass-covering, not
That is it. That is all.
This is not a strategy or accomplishment. This Administration is devoid
of either. That may be more a matter of history than of personality.
This is still what Texan Michael LIND calls the Third American Republic.
It is mock-republican and sham-democratic. It will be remembered for
pseudo-accomplishments like Desert Storm, like substitution of financial
stability for national security, and like multicultural kitsch as social
Ralph NADER and Ira MAGAZINER think Bill GATES is monumentally
important. He is just rich, not the same thing. No Administration should
waste much time, blood or treasure battling Microsoft to the death or
carrying water for its rivals, not a single one of which is much
different, save in trade names. Microsoft should be caned, not hung or
drawn and quartered.
National strategy for economic and technical progress should focus on
(1) minimizing the commodity price of digital media, the West Texas
Intermediate Crude of cyberspace, (2) squeezing indirect taxation out of
public network monopoly, and (3) using declining costs in all digital
media to offset the rising cost and hazards of fossil fuel use.
This is a simple and popular, not a simplistic or demogogic, policy. We
are not quite there yet, but this list has moved a way down the line.
Thanks, again, for your time and PLAYON JRBehrman sends.....
fn: John Robert BEHRMAN
n: BEHRMAN;John Robert
org: TETRA ENGINEERING, Inc.
adr: 1436 West Gray, Nbr 298;;;HOUSTON;Texas;77019;USA
title: Chief Analyst
tel;work: 713 610 1162
tel;fax: 713 610 1161
tel;home: 713 524 4154