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Big Tobacco Moves on Thailand (fwd)



                                         June 18, 1998

                   Foreign Firms May Partner
                   With Thai Tobacco Monopoly

                   By PICHAYAPORN UTUMPORN
                   Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

                   BANGKOK, Thailand -- Several international tobacco
companies are in
                   talks with the state-owned Thailand Tobacco Monopoly to
set up one or
                   more cigarette-making joint ventures. 

                   The companies include Philip Morris Co. and R.J.
Reynolds Tobacco
                   International Inc. of the U.S., and U.K.-based B.A.T
Industries PLC,
                   according to government officials overseeing the Thai
monopoly. Philip
                   Morris makes Marlboro and Benson & Hedges cigarettes; 
R.J. Reynolds,
                   a unit of RJR Nabisco Inc., makes Camel, Winston, and
Salem; and a
                   U.S. unit of B.A.T makes Lucky Strike and Kool. 

                   Since 1943, the Thailand Tobacco Monopoly has been the
only company
                   allowed to make cigarettes in Thailand, manufacturing
brands such as the
                   top-selling Krongthip. If joint ventures materialize,
foreign tobacco
                   companies might be able to grab market share by
avoiding the 60% duty
                   charged on imported cigarettes. 

                   Bid for Self-Preservation

                   For the tobacco monopoly, its interest in possible joint
ventures is partly
                   driven by a desire for self-preservation. The Thai
government is under
                   pressure to eventually sell off many state-run
businesses, partly at the
                   behest of the International Monetary Fund. So the
monopoly is eager to
                   offer alternatives to privatization, and that way,
perhaps, to decide its own
                   fate.

                   No matter what happens, any action probably will have to
wait at least
                   until the end of August. That's when the government is
set to issue a
                   so-called privatization master plan, as part of the $17.2
billion IMF
                   requirements for reviving the Thai economy.

                   The Thai market has been a tough one for foreign
cigarette makers to
                   crack. The ban on manufacturing and the steep taxes have
kept foreign
                   cigarette makers at the market's margins. According to
tax records, they
                   sold only 5% of the 2.4 billion packs of cigarettes
smoked in Thailand last
                   year.

                   Sizable Market

                   Still, Thailand, with its population of 60 million, is a
substantial market for
                   the companies. R.J. Reynolds sold 760 million cigarettes
in Thailand in
                   1997, representing a 1% market share, company officials said.

                   But that's not to say Thais are paying a 60% duty on
every Lucky Strike
                   they light. Foreign cigarettes smuggled into Thailand
without duties are
                   widely available.

                   Tobacco companies consider a deal with the Thailand
Tobacco Monopoly
                   a way to build sales amid Thailand's economic crisis,
which is sharply
                   curtailing local spending power. "Excessive taxation,
from our point of
                   view, always hits those who can afford less," said Axel
Gietz, senior
                   director for external relations at R.J.Reynolds
International BV in Geneva,
                   Switzerland. "Local manufacturing would be a more
interesting proposition
                   to us."

                   On the other hand, he says that "people tend to continue
smoking as the
                   only luxury they can afford" in times of economic crisis
such as these. "I
                   wouldn't say they smoke more, but they don't seem to cut
down on
                   smoking consumption so much."

                   'Like a Beauty Contest'

                   Mr. Gietz described the talks with the monopoly as "a
little bit like a
                   beauty contest" among tobacco companies, held by the
monopoly to find
                   the best deal.

                   In a faxed response to questions, a Philip Morris
official confirmed that
                   "over the past several months, Philip Morris and Thailand
Tobacco
                   Monopoly officials have held exploratory discussions
about the possibility
                   of (a) cooperative commercial relationship." He declined
to provide further
                   details.

                   Officials from B.A.T's Asia operations couldn't be
reached for comment.

                   The steep import duty serves two purposes. It keeps the
monopoly firmly
                   entrenched in the lucrative market. And since the duty
was increased to
                   60% from 30% in January, it has supplied the government
with a steady
                   stream of income at a time when the economic crisis has
slashed
                   government revenue.

                   The monopoly's revenue from sales and duties totaled 44
billion baht
                   ($1.02 billion) in the year ended Sept. 30, said Ong-ard
Champoonta, the
                   monopoly's managing director. Of that amount, the
government was given
                   "more than four billion baht" as a commission from the
monopoly, he said.

                   Talks With Many Firms

                   The chairman of the tobacco monopoly, Somchainuk
Engtrakul, said,
                   "We've been talking with many companies, and may pick
more than one
                   partner for the project." According to Mr. Ong-ard, the
monopoly is
                   looking to hold the majority stake in the venture or
ventures, preferably
                   "more than 51%."

                   Before any deals can be struck, the plan must be approved
by the Finance
                   Ministry, and if the investment is large enough, by the
Thai cabinet.

                   The IMF requires Thailand to privatize some of its 70
state agencies as
                   part of the conditions attached to the IMF-led $17.2
billion economic
                   bailout package. The government is currently drafting its
privatization
                   master plan, which will outline privatization procedures.

                   Agencies subject to privatization this year include Thai
Airways
                   International, Bangchak Petroleum PCL, the Telephone
Organization of
                   Thailand, and the Electricity Generating Authority of
Thailand. The Finance
                   Ministry now owns 100% of the tobacco monopoly.

                   The monopoly began considering joint-venture
possibilities before the
                   government accepted the IMF-backed bailout. "We prefer
this type of
                   joint venture" to a sale of the government's stake, said
Mr. Somchainuk,
                   who is also director-general of the Customs Department.
"But if the
                   government wants to sell part of us -- like they're doing
with other
                   agencies -- we'll have to accept it."

                   Bangkok Fears Revenue Loss

                   Privatization of the monopoly could be more
time-consuming and more
                   difficult than privatization of other state agencies,
given the profitability of
                   the business. Finance Minister Tarrin Nimmanhaeminda said the
                   government isn't in a hurry to privatize the monopoly,
because of concerns
                   that it will lose a significant chunk of revenue.

                   Any move toward privatization could prompt vigorous
resistance from the
                   agency's employees, Mr. Tarrin said in a brief interview.
The union
                   representing the agency's more than 7,000 workers is one
of the country's
                   most powerful. "We don't want to move too swiftly in
changing the way of
                   life there," Mr. Tarrin said.

                   Freeing the monopoly from government's control could be
controversial
                   because of public-health concerns, as well. "We don't
think the tobacco
                   monopoly should be privatized at all," said Hatai
Chitanondh, president of
                   the Asia Pacific Association for Control of Tobacco, a
Bangkok-based
                   antismoking group that submitted a petition against such
a move to the
                   government in May. "This isn't a kind of agency whose
efficiency the
                   government should improve. I think it's even better that
the management of
                   the tobacco monopoly remains inefficient, so that they
wouldn't be so
                   good at what they're doing."